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库迪斯和沃斯在孜孜不倦分析荷兰金融记录的过程中得出了结论,悲观者和乐观者之间真正的区别在于他们是否亲身经历过这样的痛苦过程。库迪斯认为,可以类比的是那些经历过大萧条的人们的行为:这些人在大萧条梦魇过去后的几十年里,一直回避金融风险。


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